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Archives for March 2026

AI Won’t Fix a Strategy Problem

March 30, 2026 by Tracy Deuell

post featured image with title and a picture of the author, Tracy Deuell

An Interim CIO on What Actually Works.

Mid-market companies are under more pressure than ever to adopt AI and modernize their technology. Most are going about it backwards. Here is a practical framework for getting it right.

I have had some version of the same conversation countless times over the course of my career. A leadership team gathers, usually at an offsite or a board meeting, and the question lands on the table: what are we doing about AI? Someone mentions a competitor who just announced a digital transformation initiative. The CFO asks whether the company is leaning in. A VP pulls up a ChatGPT demo. And within a few weeks, a vendor is getting time on the calendar.

I am not here to tell you that reaction is irrational. The pressure is real, the pace of change is real, and the fear of falling behind is legitimate. What I will tell you, based on having walked into more mid-market companies than I can count at exactly this inflection point, is that this is how expensive mistakes get made.

Technology decisions made from pressure instead of strategy rarely produce the outcomes leadership is hoping for. What they produce is a graveyard of expensive software that nobody uses, initiatives that stall after 90 days, and leadership teams left wondering what went wrong.

The principle I come back to in every engagement is the same one I talked about on the Middle Market Smart podcast: do not let technology be the tail that wags the dog.

It sounds obvious. In practice, it is one of the hardest disciplines for a growing mid-market company to maintain, especially right now.

Why “We Need AI” Is Not a Strategy

The mid-market is drowning in technology options and starving for technology clarity. Every week brings a new platform, a new AI capability, a new vendor promising to transform operations, cut costs, and accelerate growth. And for companies operating between $50M and $300M, complex enough to feel the pain but not always resourced enough to navigate it well, the noise is deafening.

I understand why leaders fall into the instinct to act. If the tool is being talked about everywhere, maybe the company should be using it. If a competitor just implemented a new ERP, maybe the risk of falling behind is real. If the board is going to ask about AI at the next meeting, it feels better to have an answer.

But “we need AI” is not a strategy. Neither is “we need a new CRM” or “we need to modernize our tech stack.” These are technology statements masquerading as business decisions. And the dangerous thing about them is that they feel purposeful. They feel like forward motion, while actually skipping the step that determines whether any of it will work.

That step is answering a question that has to come before any technology conversation: what business problem are we actually trying to solve?

Here is a data point I come back to often. Most mid-market companies are utilizing somewhere between 10 and 15 percent of the capabilities in their existing technology platforms. They are not behind because they lack tools. They are behind because the tools they already own are not being used, adopted, or connected to business outcomes. Buying more software does not solve that problem. It compounds it.

Most companies I walk into are not under-tooled. They are under-utilized. The answer is almost never more software. It is making the software they already have actually work.

Start With the Business Problem, Not the Software Demo

The inversion I advocate for is not complicated in theory, but it requires a discipline that most organizations struggle to maintain under pressure. Before any vendor is contacted, before any demo is scheduled, before any RFP is written, I ask leadership teams to sit with a set of foundational questions.

What outcome are we actually trying to drive? Not “improve efficiency” or “scale operations,” but specific, measurable outcomes. Revenue growth from a particular segment. Reduction in order fulfillment time. Improved margin on a specific product line. Customer retention improvement in a particular channel. The more specific the outcome, the clearer the technology decision becomes.

What is actually slowing us down? This is where the most important honesty happens. Sometimes the answer is a technology constraint: a legacy system that cannot scale, a lack of data integration that forces manual reconciliation, a CRM that does not reflect how the company actually sells. But just as often, the constraint is a process problem, a people problem, or an organizational alignment problem that software cannot fix and will likely amplify.

What does success look like in 18 to 24 months? Major technology investments in the mid-market rarely produce meaningful returns in 90 days. Leaders who evaluate technology decisions on short timelines tend to abandon initiatives before the value materializes, and then repeat the cycle with the next vendor. Setting realistic horizons and identifying the leading indicators that signal progress is strategic work that has to happen before the purchase order.

Only after those questions have been answered, and the leadership team is genuinely aligned on the answers, should technology enter the conversation. At that point it enters as a potential vehicle for a defined business outcome. Not as the strategy itself.

The business strategy has to lead. Technology follows. When you flip that order, you end up with expensive shelfware and a team that does not understand why they are being asked to change how they work.

The Most Expensive Mistake I See Mid-Market Companies Make

If there is a single pattern I see more than any other, it is this: companies throw software at problems that software alone cannot solve.

A sales team that is not following a consistent process gets a new CRM. The CRM does not get adopted because the process problem was never addressed. The platform sits largely unused, leadership concludes the tool was the wrong choice, and the cycle begins again with a different vendor. The real issue, a lack of sales process definition and management discipline, was never touched.

An operations team struggling with inventory visibility invests in a new warehouse management system. The implementation drags on because the data going into the system is inconsistent and incomplete. The system goes live but produces unreliable outputs because nobody addressed the data quality problem that existed long before the purchase decision. The technology gets blamed. The underlying issue remains.

What I have learned from being inside these situations is that the technology decision is roughly 20 percent of whether an initiative works. The other 80 percent is change management, process redesign, data readiness, organizational alignment, and helping people make the transition.

That is not a comfortable message for leaders who want to move fast. But it is the message that saves companies from wasting millions of dollars and two to three years of organizational energy on initiatives that were set up to fail before the contract was signed.

You can buy the best software in the world and still fail completely. The technology is rarely why these projects go sideways. It is everything that has to happen around the technology that most companies underinvest in.

What Intentional Technology Leadership Actually Looks Like

The companies I have worked with that consistently turn technology investment into business results share a set of characteristics that have very little to do with which platforms they have chosen.

They treat technology as a capability-building exercise, not a tool-buying exercise. The question is not “what software should we buy?” It is “what capability do we need to build, and what combination of people, process, and technology will get us there?” That framing changes everything about how decisions get made, how implementations get resourced, and how success gets measured.

They assess their current state honestly before looking outward. Before evaluating any new solution, they invest time in understanding what they actually have: what is working, what is not, and why. That assessment often reveals that the highest-ROI move is optimizing current capabilities rather than acquiring new ones. I have walked into engagements where the most valuable thing I did in the first 60 days was help a company get more out of tools they were already paying for.

They measure technology success by business outcomes, not go-lives. A successful implementation is not the day the system goes live. It is six months later, when adoption is where it needs to be and the business metrics the initiative was designed to move are actually moving. Companies that treat go-lives as the finish line tend to lose momentum precisely when the hard work is beginning.

And critically, they have someone who can sit at the business strategy table and translate. Not just someone who manages IT operations, but someone who can connect technology decisions to revenue, margin, customer experience, and competitive positioning. In many mid-market companies, that person does not yet exist internally. That is a gap worth taking seriously.

Why More Mid-Market Companies Are Turning to Interim Technology Leadership

Here is the reality for a lot of companies operating between $80M and $300M. They are large enough that technology decisions carry serious consequences, but not always large enough to justify a full-time CIO who can operate at the intersection of business strategy and technology execution. The result is often a VP of IT who is excellent at keeping the lights on but is not positioned to drive the strategic technology conversation at the leadership level.

This is exactly the gap I step into. When I come into a mid-market company in an interim capacity, the engagement is not about managing IT infrastructure. It is about helping leadership answer the questions that have to precede technology decisions and then ensuring that the investments the company makes are anchored to outcomes that actually matter.

Sometimes that means building the technology roadmap from scratch. Sometimes it means stopping initiatives that are consuming resources without a clear line of sight to business value. Sometimes it means renegotiating vendor contracts that no longer reflect the company’s size or needs. And sometimes the most important thing I do is help the leadership team align around a shared understanding of what they are actually trying to accomplish before technology enters the room.

For private equity-backed companies and businesses navigating ownership transitions, this work is particularly valuable. Technology is often both a source of value creation and a source of undisclosed risk. Understanding which is which, and building a roadmap that addresses both, requires the kind of pattern recognition that comes from having been inside dozens of companies at similar inflection points.

The Leaders Who Will Win the Next Five Years

The pace of change is not slowing down. AI capabilities are evolving faster than most organizations can evaluate, let alone adopt. New platforms are launching every month. The pressure to act will only intensify.

In that environment, I am convinced that the companies that win will not be the ones that move the fastest toward every new tool. They will be the ones that move with the most intention, always asking first what the business needs, and then deciding what role technology should play in getting there.

That requires building a culture where technology is respected as an accelerant, not treated as a solution. It requires leadership teams that are willing to do the harder work of defining outcomes before opening the vendor catalog. And it requires having the right people in the room when those decisions are being made.

The leaders who will win the next five years are not the ones who adopted AI first. They are the ones who adopted it with a purpose, connected to a real business outcome, with a plan to actually make it work.

Hear the Full Conversation

I go deeper on all of these themes in Episode 2 of Middle Market Smart, the CXO Partners podcast on growth, technology, and leadership for mid-market companies. We get into real-world examples of companies scaling from $80M to $250M+, the mistakes that derail technology initiatives at every stage, and the practical framework I use to stay focused when the innovation noise keeps getting louder.

→ Watch Episode 2 on YouTube

→ Explore CXO Partners’ Technology Strategy Services

→ Explore Interim CIO Services

About Tracy Deuell

Tracy Deuell is Managing Partner of Technology Strategy Services at CXO Partners, a national firm specializing in interim executive leadership, strategic advisory, and transformation for mid-market companies. With decades of experience as an interim CIO and technology transformation leader across healthcare, financial services, distribution, manufacturing, and nonprofits, Tracy has helped companies scale from $80M to $250M+ by connecting technology decisions to the business outcomes that actually drive growth. He serves on the Middle Market Smart podcast as a featured voice on practical technology strategy for growth-stage companies.

Connect: cxo.partners/team/tracy-deuell  ·  linkedin.com/in/tracydeuell

About CXO Partners

CXO Partners is a national executive advisory and interim leadership firm helping mid-market companies navigate transformation, leadership transitions, and growth. With deep expertise across Finance, Technology, Operations, and Supply Chain, CXO Partners provides the experienced leadership that growing companies need, when and how they need it. Headquartered in Atlanta, GA, with clients across the United States.

→ Schedule a discovery call: cxo.partners/contact

Filed Under: Insights

The Great Divergence: Why the Middle Market Is Splitting

March 2, 2026 by Rob Elbaz

post featured image with title and picture of the author, Mike Casey

A Quiet Transformation Is Reshaping the Middle Market

The U.S. middle market is undergoing a quiet but powerful transformation. Long viewed as the economic engine of American business, the middle market is now experiencing something different: fragmentation. What was once considered a single, somewhat unified sector is beginning to separate. Not by industry or region, but by speed, by strategy, and most notably, by capital structure.

In the debut episode of Middle Market Smart, CXO Partners’ Managing Partner Mike Casey described this shift as “The Great Divergence.” It’s not about growth vs. stagnation. It’s about two distinct modes of operation emerging inside the same revenue bands, often within the same industries.

Some companies are accelerating. Others are holding steady. The factor driving this divide is increasingly whether a business is backed by private equity or is independently owned.

A Growing Gap in the Middle Market

Private equity-backed companies are on the move. These firms are investing in technology, acquiring competitors, restructuring operations, and positioning for exit. There is urgency behind these decisions. PE firms are managing aging portfolios and rising pressure from their own investors. Exit timelines have stretched, capital deployment windows are tightening, and many firms are focused on unlocking liquidity between 2026 and 2027.

This urgency is translating into action inside the businesses they own. PE-backed middle market companies are moving fast. They are hiring leadership with IPO experience, implementing agentic AI, connecting supply chains, and in many cases, consolidating fragmented verticals through roll-up strategies.

Contrast that with founder or family-led companies operating with a very different mandate. For these firms, the priorities are often long-term sustainability, cash flow preservation, and succession. They may be every bit as profitable and well-run, but they are rarely built for speed. Technology adoption is slower, risk tolerance is lower, and growth strategies tend to favor organic expansion rather than aggressive M&A.

Both models are valid. But the differences between them are becoming harder to ignore.

Why This Divergence Matters

Historically, companies across the middle market competed on a relatively level playing field. Access to capital may have varied, but the gap in operating models was less dramatic. That’s no longer the case.

Today, PE-backed firms are bringing institutional capital and enterprise-level playbooks into industries that were once dominated by local or regional players. We are seeing this in accounting, manufacturing, B2B services, healthcare, and more. And with that comes a shift in expectations, pricing, customer experience, and ultimately, valuation.

When one company in a market invests in digital infrastructure, automates processes with AI, and outpaces competitors in recruiting top talent, it sets a new standard. Others must catch up or concede market share. But catching up often requires capital and execution capacity that many independent firms either don’t have or aren’t yet ready to access.

This is where the divergence becomes real. It’s not just a difference in ownership. It’s a growing strategic and operational gap that influences every aspect of a company’s trajectory, from hiring to customer acquisition to eventual exit.

Middle Market Tiers Still Provide Context

While capital structure is the most important dividing line, company size and maturity still play a role in how this divergence shows up in practice.

The lower middle market, typically consisting of businesses generating $10 to $50 million in revenue, remains heavily founder-led. These businesses are often specialists in their local or regional space, operating in industries like professional services, construction, distribution, or light manufacturing. Many are excellent operators, but they are frequently the targets of roll-up strategies by larger firms.

The core middle market, ranging from $50 million to $500 million, is where the action is most visible. These companies are large enough to attract institutional capital, and they often sit in sectors undergoing rapid transformation. Many are either building scale through acquisition or being approached by larger players as strategic targets.

At the top end, in the upper middle market, companies between $500 million and $1 billion in revenue often operate like public enterprises already. Many are PE-owned. Others are preparing for IPO. These businesses are increasingly leading their verticals and reshaping the competitive environment for the rest of the market.

Size alone doesn’t determine strategy. But when paired with capital backing, it creates a distinct advantage in how quickly a company can evolve.

What Companies Should Be Thinking About Now

For PE-backed firms, the task ahead is focused execution. Investors are looking to create value rapidly and prepare companies for exit while the window is favorable. That requires smart capital allocation, integration discipline, and meaningful progress on AI, automation, and go-to-market alignment. Many firms will need to be positioned for IPO or strategic sale within 18 to 24 months. The companies that move decisively now will be best positioned to capitalize on that window.

For privately held companies, this moment calls for reflection and strategic evaluation. Standing still may not be an option. As competitors modernize and consolidate, businesses that were once leaders in their segment risk becoming laggards. Leaders should be asking: Is our current structure enough to compete over the next five years? Should we consider private credit or minority equity investment? Is it time to revisit digital strategy or succession planning?

Not every company needs to take on outside capital to succeed. But every company needs a clear-eyed view of what’s happening in their industry, what competitors are doing, and what strategic capabilities will be required to win in the years ahead.

Looking Ahead

What’s happening now in the middle market isn’t temporary. The pressure from PE funds to exit, combined with a slow but stabilizing IPO market, suggests that the second half of 2026 and into 2027 will be an inflection point. Many firms are already preparing. Others are waiting to see what happens.

For companies with the right fundamentals, this could be the most active and rewarding deal environment in years. For those without a clear plan, it may be a wake-up call. The divergence isn’t just coming, it’s already here.

Final Thoughts

The middle market is splitting. Not by size, but by speed. Companies with access to capital, modern systems, and aggressive playbooks are creating new rules for competition. Others must decide whether to adapt, partner, sell, or find new ways to differentiate.

At CXO Partners, we work with both sides of this market. We help PE-backed firms scale and prepare for exit. We help family-owned businesses modernize, access capital, and position for long-term value. In every case, the goal is clarity and capability, so that companies can make the right decision at the right time.

To go deeper into this conversation, we invite you to listen to Episode 1 of Middle Market Smart with Mike Casey, Bill Getch, and Patrick Goulet.

Listen here: Episode 1

If you’re exploring capital strategy, technology transformation, or M&A readiness, our team would be happy to have a conversation.

Frequently Asked Questions

The Great Divergence in the Middle Market

Key questions about the growing split between PE-backed and independently owned middle market companies — and what it means for your business.

  • 01 What is “The Great Divergence” in the middle market?

    It’s the growing split within the U.S. middle market — not by industry, region, or size, but by speed, strategy, and capital structure. Two distinct operating models are emerging within the same revenue bands: fast-moving, PE-backed companies pursuing aggressive growth and exits, and independently owned businesses focused on stability, cash flow, and long-term sustainability.

  • 02 Why are PE-backed middle market companies moving so aggressively right now?

    Private equity firms are managing aging portfolios under mounting investor pressure, with stretched exit timelines and tightening capital deployment windows. Many are targeting liquidity events between 2026 and 2027, which is driving urgency inside their portfolio companies — hiring IPO-experienced leadership, deploying agentic AI, integrating supply chains, and executing roll-up acquisitions to build scale before the exit window.

  • 03 How does this divergence affect founder- and family-owned businesses?

    Independent companies can be just as profitable and well-run, but they typically prioritize succession, cash preservation, and organic growth over speed. The risk is competitive: when a PE-backed rival invests in digital infrastructure, AI automation, and top talent, it resets market expectations on pricing, customer experience, and valuation. Businesses that stand still risk sliding from leaders to laggards in their segment.

  • 04 How does company size factor into the divergence?

    Size still provides context even though capital structure is the main dividing line. The lower middle market ($10–50M revenue) remains largely founder-led and is a frequent roll-up target. The core middle market ($50–500M) sees the most activity — big enough to attract institutional capital and often acquiring or being acquired. Upper middle market companies ($500M–1B) frequently operate like public enterprises, with many PE-owned or preparing for IPO.

  • 05 What should independent middle market companies do in response?

    Not every business needs outside capital, but every business needs a clear-eyed strategic assessment. Leaders should ask whether their current structure can compete over the next five years, whether private credit or minority equity investment makes sense, and whether it’s time to revisit digital strategy or succession planning. With 2026–2027 shaping up as an inflection point for deal activity, companies with strong fundamentals and a plan will be best positioned.

Filed Under: Insights

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